Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 4.078529 4.392011 4.727986 5.116562 5.555758 6.039351 6.615659
2025-04-13 3.497610 3.920966 4.404092 5.002833 5.734424 6.612205 7.765684
2025-04-20 3.161149 3.639393 4.208769 4.949457 5.907669 7.135877 8.883741
2025-04-27 2.992692 3.522629 4.176516 5.063780 6.272133 7.919882 10.456525
2025-05-04 2.858308 3.426901 4.149890 5.167248 6.617515 8.711390 12.189934
2025-05-11 2.703477 3.287605 4.047958 5.149320 6.779028 9.248208 13.635706
2025-05-18 2.560896 3.151218 3.934888 5.098427 6.877094 9.691096 15.015751
2025-05-25 2.406963 2.988149 3.771224 4.956086 6.813871 9.856287 15.920429
2025-06-01 2.285354 2.861006 3.647635 4.859710 6.807787 10.109763 17.053343
2025-06-08 2.208773 2.790851 3.598836 4.869591 6.970707 10.678622 19.000302
2025-06-15 2.157707 2.752765 3.592477 4.942218 7.243491 11.490702 21.770524
2025-06-22 2.050309 2.628884 3.452375 4.791333 7.111998 11.501080 22.588568
2025-06-29 1.953276 2.519157 3.332721 4.673603 7.043595 11.661061 23.966189
2025-07-06 1.868950 2.424637 3.231715 4.580437 7.013008 11.902728 25.714150
2025-07-13 1.803049 2.353845 3.162561 4.534328 7.063742 12.328116 28.234030
2025-07-20 1.776794 2.339986 3.179634 4.634402 7.403916 13.473296 33.848929
2025-07-27 1.749959 2.323565 3.191095 4.724793 7.736362 14.685669 40.795327
2025-08-03 1.702219 2.273087 3.145191 4.709142 7.849249 15.376737 46.274554
2025-08-10 1.651768 2.216281 3.085999 4.664689 7.895633 15.904623 51.582809
2025-08-17 1.588391 2.137182 2.986862 4.540198 7.755525 15.888223 54.026918
2025-08-24 1.536587 2.074309 2.911748 4.455771 7.695731 16.094769 58.122414
2025-08-31 1.505702 2.042932 2.887192 4.464432 7.845605 16.961763 67.843078
2025-09-07 1.486702 2.029392 2.891526 4.528056 8.129677 18.333404 84.442157